Sierra Leone vs Liberia
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 9 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sierra Leone Win | 6/5 2.16 | 43% | 33% | -10% |
| Draw Value | 2/1 3.00 | 30% | 39% | +9% |
| Liberia Win | 5/2 3.45 | 27% | 28% | +1% |
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Sierra Leone avg 1.08 scored at home with recent wins possible; Liberia avg 0.72 scored with poor away record LLLDW
H2H: 1.7 goals per game average across last 7 meetings — consistently low-scoring rivalry; neutral overall dominance
Stakes: International friendly with nothing concrete at stake, but home pride factor slightly favours Sierra Leone
Betting: a clean sheet for one side, under 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 1-0.
⚔️ Head to Head
Low-scoring rivalry averaging just 1.7 goals per game over last 7 meetings; recent encounters include 1-1 and 1-2 results, confirming tight margins — home side has an edge but nothing dominant
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: No
The projected 1-0 scoreline has at least one side kept off the scoresheet.
Over 2.5 Goals: No
The projected 1-0 scoreline totals 1 goals, keeping it under 2.5.