Singapore vs China
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 13 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singapore Win Value | 9/2 5.30 | 17% | 28% | +11% |
| Draw Value | 3/1 4.10 | 23% | 37% | +14% |
| China Win | 8/15 1.53 | 60% | 35% | -25% |
📊 Heads up: bookmakers disagree
Across 13 bookmakers, the consensus favoured China (60% implied probability). Our engine saw this match differently.
We surface this disagreement so you can weigh both views. The pick above is our engine's, not the bookmakers' — but if you'd usually trust the market, this is worth knowing.
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Singapore averaging under 1 goal per game at home, China averaging 0.67 goals scored in last 3 matches with concerning defensive record away
H2H: Both recent meetings in March 2024 saw both teams score; average 4.5 goals per game in H2H though small sample
Stakes: Friendly match with no competitive stakes, reducing motivation and favouring a cautious, low-intensity encounter
Betting: BTTS supported by H2H trend of both teams scoring; Under 2.5 supported by low xG values and friendly context reducing effort levels
⚔️ Head to Head
Both March 2024 meetings saw both teams score — a 4-1 China win and a 2-2 draw — suggesting neither defence shuts the other out, but the friendly context here likely suppresses total goals compared to competitive encounters.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Both teams have scored in each of the last two H2H meetings and both carry enough attacking threat (Singapore 0.87 avg scored, China with a goal in their most recent match) to find the net at least once each in a low-pressure friendly environment.
Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
Despite high-scoring H2H history, the friendly nature of this match reduces intensity, both teams have modest xG values (0.79 and 0.75), and Singapore's overall average of under 2 combined goals per game points toward a tight contest staying under 2.5 goals total.