Singapore vs Mongolia
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 9 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singapore Win | 2/9 1.22 | 76% | 40% | -36% |
| Draw Value | 5/1 5.80 | 16% | 36% | +20% |
| Mongolia Win Value | 9/1 10.50 | 8% | 24% | +16% |
📊 Heads up: bookmakers disagree
Across 9 bookmakers, the consensus favoured Singapore (76% implied probability). Our engine saw this match differently.
We surface this disagreement so you can weigh both views. The pick above is our engine's, not the bookmakers' — but if you'd usually trust the market, this is worth knowing.
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
⚡ Stakes & Context
- ⏱️ Rest advantage: Mongolia (536d) vs Singapore (198d) — Mongolia significantly fresher
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Singapore LDLWL with avg 2.18 scored; Mongolia LL with 0 scored and 6.7 conceded
H2H: Limited data available
Stakes: Friendly match but Singapore motivated by home crowd and superior competitive readiness
Betting: Bookmakers heavily favour Singapore at 81% — a 2-0 home win aligns with implied probability; single-team scoring supported by Mongolia's recent blanks
⚔️ Head to Head
Limited data
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: No
The 2-0 scoreline projects a one-sided attacking output, with Mongolia expected to be kept off the scoresheet.
Over 2.5 Goals: No
Although Singapore have attacking output, their recent form is inconsistent and Mongolia are expected to sit deep and offer little going forward. With Mongolia likely to be shut out and Singapore unlikely to run riot in a friendly, total goals should remain at or under 2.5, making under the more probable outcome.