Standard Liege vs Charleroi
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 14 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege Win | 11/10 2.10 | 45% | 38% | -7% |
| Draw | 9/4 3.34 | 28% | 28% | ±0% |
| Charleroi Win Value | 5/2 3.40 | 27% | 34% | +7% |
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Standard Liege averaging 1.9 goals scored at home with wins of 2-1, 5-0, 2-1 in recent home games; Charleroi averaging 1.1 goals scored but 0.87 conceded — compact away side capable of grabbing one.
H2H: Last 8 meetings perfectly split 3-3-2; average 2 goals per game; Standard Liege won most recent H2H 2-1 and won at home 3-1 in Oct 2025.
Stakes: Season finale intensity boosts both sides; no clear relegation/promotion skew identified but home pride and fan pressure favours Standard Liege.
Betting: both teams to score, over 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 2-1.
⚔️ Head to Head
Last 8 meetings perfectly split — 3 Standard Liege wins, 3 Charleroi wins, 2 draws. Average just 2 goals per game. Standard Liege won the last H2H 2-1 at Charleroi and won 3-1 at home in Oct 2025, giving them a slight recent edge in this fixture.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
The projected 2-1 scoreline has both teams finding the net.
Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
The projected 2-1 scoreline totals 3 goals, clearing the 2.5 line.