Start vs Bodo/Glimt
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 12 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Start Win Value | 9/1 10.22 | 9% | 25% | +16% |
| Draw Value | 11/2 6.45 | 14% | 23% | +9% |
| Bodo/Glimt Win | 1/5 1.21 | 77% | 52% | -25% |
📊 Heads up: bookmakers disagree
Across 12 bookmakers, the consensus favoured Bodo/Glimt (77% implied probability). Our engine saw this match differently.
We surface this disagreement so you can weigh both views. The pick above is our engine's, not the bookmakers' — but if you'd usually trust the market, this is worth knowing.
⚡ Stakes & Context
- 🆘 Start in relegation danger (P16/16)
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Start winless in 10, conceding 3+ per game; Bodo/Glimt on WDLWWWWDLW run, strong defensively
H2H: Bodo/Glimt won 4 of last 8, with two massive away wins (5-0, 6-0) in recent meetings
Stakes: Start in relegation battle but poor form suggests desperation rather than performance; Bodo/Glimt chasing top positions
Betting: BTTS unlikely given Start's attacking struggles (1.05 xG, 0 wins) vs Bodo/Glimt's solid defence (0.97 conceded avg); Under 2.5 plausible but away dominance tips toward a controlled 2-goal win
⚔️ Head to Head
Bodo/Glimt have been dominant in recent H2H, winning the last two meetings 5-0 and 6-0 against Start. Start's only wins came in 2018, making this a one-sided recent trend in Bodo/Glimt's favour.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: No
Start are unlikely to score given their attacking struggles (1.05 xG, zero wins all season) and Bodo/Glimt's excellent defensive record (0.97 goals conceded per game). With multiple key Start players injured and Bodo/Glimt's recent away shutout performances, a clean sheet for the visitors is the more probable outcome.
Over 2.5 Goals: No
With a predicted scoreline of 0-2, total goals sit at 2, pointing to under 2.5. Although H2H has historically been high-scoring, Bodo/Glimt's current defensive solidity and Start's toothless attack make a controlled, lower-scoring away win the most likely scenario rather than an open goal-fest.