Start vs Fredrikstad
📖 The Preview
Both sides are desperately scrapping to stay up, but Fredrikstad look the likelier to edge this one. Start are sitting rock bottom and their recent form is dreadful, winning just twice in their last ten. Fredrikstad aren't setting the world alight either, but they've shown more consistency lately and historically have the better of this fixture. With both teams expected to find the net, Start might nick one, but Fredrikstad's superior position and momentum should be enough to take all three points in a tight 2-1 away win.
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 13 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Start Win | 5/4 2.25 | 42% | 42% | ±0% |
| Draw | 5/2 3.39 | 28% | 25% | -3% |
| Fredrikstad Win | 2/1 3.04 | 30% | 33% | +3% |
⚡ Stakes & Context
- 🆘 Start in relegation danger (P16/16)
- 🆘 Fredrikstad in relegation danger (P11, only 4 pt cushion)
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Start averaging 1.03 goals scored and 2.5 conceded; Fredrikstad more defensively solid at 1.44 conceded
H2H: Fredrikstad win 5 of last 8, avg 3.5 goals/game — high-scoring fixture history favours away side
Stakes: Start are P16 (last place, desperate for points); Fredrikstad P11 with only 4-point cushion — both motivated but Start's squad is more depleted
Betting: both teams to score, over 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 1-2.
⚔️ Head to Head
Fredrikstad dominate this fixture historically — 5 wins in last 8, including a 2-1 win in May 2026 and 3-1 in June 2023. Average of 3.5 goals per meeting makes clean sheets rare between these sides.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
The projected 1-2 scoreline has both teams finding the net.
Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
The projected 1-2 scoreline totals 3 goals, clearing the 2.5 line.