Sudtirol vs Bari

Fri 22 May 2026

CleverScores Prediction

1 – 1

Draw Medium

Sudtirol

49%

Draw

30%

Bari

21%

💰 Finding the Value

Our model probability vs the consensus across 14 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.

Selection	Odds	Market %	Model %	Edge
Sudtirol Win	10/11 1.95	48%	49%	+1%
Draw	9/4 3.30	28%	30%	+2%
Bari Win	11/4 3.83	24%	21%	-3%

No value markets in this fixture — our model and the bookmakers broadly agree on the 1X2 outcome.

Edge is the gap between our model probability and the bookmaker consensus. A +5% or larger edge means we think this outcome is meaningfully more likely than the market does. Odds shown are the median across all bookies in both fractional (UK) and decimal formats — always verify current prices with your bookmaker. Predictions are for information only and are not financial advice.

🔍 Key Stats

Form: Sudtirol winless in last 10 overall but xG model favours them at home; Bari win 40% overall but only 1 win in last 4 away
H2H: 1.1 goals per game average across last 8 meetings — historically ultra-low scoring; Sudtirol lead H2H 3W-3D-2L
Stakes: Both teams mid-table (P16 and P17), no relegation/promotion pressure — lean toward tight, cautious game
Betting: BTTS unlikely given Bari's poor away scoring and Sudtirol's defensive solidity at home; Under 2.5 strongly supported by H2H average of 1.1 goals and both sides' tendency toward low-scoring encounters

⚔️ Head to Head

Five of the last five H2H meetings have ended 0-0, 1-2, 0-0, 0-0, or 0-1 — a remarkably low-scoring fixture with an average of just 1.1 goals per game. Sudtirol hold a slight edge in recent H2H results.

🎲 Betting Tips

Both Teams to Score: Yes
Bari have scored only in 1 of their last 4 away fixtures and carry a weak attacking xG on the road. Sudtirol's home defensive record, combined with Bari's limited away threat, makes it likely Bari fail to find the net, leaving only the home side on the scoresheet in a 1-0 result.

Over 2.5 Goals: No
This fixture averages just 1.1 goals per game over the last 8 H2H meetings, and both teams are mid-table with reduced urgency. Sudtirol's season average of 0.64 goals scored at home and Bari's poor away attacking output strongly point toward a total of 1 goal — well under the 2.5 threshold.

CleverScore confidence: Medium

Predictions are AI-generated from form data, head-to-head history, and contextual signals. Football is unpredictable — never bet more than you can afford to lose. 18+. BeGambleAware.org