Togo vs Benin
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 8 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Togo Win | 11/8 2.40 | 39% | 29% | -10% |
| Draw Value | 2/1 3.05 | 30% | 45% | +15% |
| Benin Win | 15/8 2.92 | 31% | 26% | -5% |
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Togo inconsistent (WLLLDD) but capable of scoring; Benin low-scoring overall but not shut out in H2H
H2H: 5 draws in 8 meetings, avg 1.5 goals/game, most recent was 1-1
Stakes: International friendly with nothing competitive on the line — both teams mid-table in motivation, favours a draw
Betting: both teams to score, under 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 1-1.
⚔️ Head to Head
Strongly draw-prone fixture — 5 of last 8 meetings ended in draws, most recently 1-1 in November 2024. Average of just 1.5 goals per game makes high-scoring outcomes unlikely.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
The projected 1-1 scoreline has both teams finding the net.
Over 2.5 Goals: No
The projected 1-1 scoreline totals 2 goals, keeping it under 2.5.