Vanuatu vs Fiji
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 3 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanuatu Win Value | 11/10 2.09 | 45% | 89% | +44% |
| Draw | 11/4 3.80 | 25% | 8% | -17% |
| Fiji Win | 2/1 3.05 | 30% | 3% | -27% |
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Vanuatu home WW with clean sheets; Fiji away LLWLL, avg 0.21 goals scored
H2H: Vanuatu win 4/7, avg 3 goals/game, most recent was Vanuatu 2-0 Fiji (Nov 2025)
Stakes: Friendly with no direct stakes but Vanuatu playing at home with clear psychological edge
Betting: a clean sheet for one side, over 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 3-0.
⚔️ Head to Head
Vanuatu dominate this fixture with 4 wins and 2 draws in last 7; last home meeting ended 2-0 to Vanuatu; fixture averages 3 goals per game though recent results suggest Fiji's attacking contribution is declining sharply
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: No
The projected 3-0 scoreline has at least one side kept off the scoresheet.
Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
The projected 3-0 scoreline totals 3 goals, clearing the 2.5 line.