Wales vs Ghana
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 13 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wales Win | 5/4 2.25 | 42% | 28% | -14% |
| Draw | 2/1 3.10 | 30% | 32% | +2% |
| Ghana Win Value | 9/4 3.25 | 28% | 40% | +12% |
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Wales winless in last 2 (0 goals scored); Ghana inconsistent but marginally better attacking output
H2H: Limited data available
Stakes: International friendly — no competitive pressure, but Ghana motivated to build momentum ahead of 2026 World Cup qualifying
Betting: BTTS unlikely given Wales's complete attacking drought (0 avg goals scored); Under 2.5 likely given both teams' low-scoring recent averages
⚔️ Head to Head
Limited data — insufficient H2H history to draw meaningful trends between these two nations.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
The 1-1 scoreline projects both teams scoring. The engine's underlying probability model gives both sides enough offensive output to find the net.
Over 2.5 Goals: No
Both teams have been low-scoring in recent outings — Wales averaging 0 goals and Ghana 0.54 — with combined xG of just 2.03. A tight, low-intensity friendly is expected to stay well under the 2.5 threshold, with the most likely outcome being a narrow one-goal game.