KAPEVSHORIGUCHI

The 8th Day Engine sees this as close to a toss-up, leaning Christian Rodriguez at 56% with low confidence. The case: at 28 to 36, the age curve tilts toward Rodriguez; Rodriguez has been stopped less often; a 1.5" reach edge for Rodriguez. Pushing back: Amil brings the stronger recent run (LLWWW); the model rates Amil's 11-2 ahead of 12-4 on win percentage. The betting market reads it 62% / 38%, and that consensus carries half of the final number. If Rodriguez gets it done, the scorecards is the most likely route (45%).

The 8th Day Engine makes Navajo Stirling the pick at 71% with high confidence — form and record quality drive most of the edge. The case: Stirling brings the stronger recent run (WWWW); the model rates Stirling's 7-0 ahead of 20-11 on win percentage; Stirling has been stopped less often. Pushing back: Cutelaba has the deeper résumé (32 pro fights to 7); Cutelaba finishes 85% of his wins against 57%. The betting market reads it 73% / 27%, and that consensus carries half of the final number. If Stirling gets it done, a stoppage is the most likely route (49%).

The 8th Day Engine makes Vinicius Oliveira the pick at 69% with high confidence — form and record quality drive most of the edge. The case: Oliveira brings the stronger recent run (LWWWW); the model rates Oliveira's 23-4 ahead of 25-13 on win percentage; at 30 to 35, the age curve tilts toward Oliveira. Pushing back: Fili has been stopped less often; a 3.5" reach edge for Fili. The betting market reads it 30% / 70%, and that consensus carries half of the final number. If Oliveira gets it done, a stoppage is the most likely route (55%).

The 8th Day Engine makes Murtazali Magomedov the pick at 66% with medium confidence — durability and form drive most of the edge. The case: Magomedov has been stopped less often; Magomedov brings the stronger recent run (); at 26 to 34, the age curve tilts toward Magomedov. Pushing back: the model rates Baghdasaryan's 8-3 ahead of 0-0 on win percentage. The betting market reads it 72% / 28%, and that consensus carries half of the final number. If Magomedov gets it done, the scorecards is the most likely route (40%).

The 8th Day Engine makes Andre Lima the pick at 84% with high confidence — form and record quality drive most of the edge. The case: Lima brings the stronger recent run (WWWW); the model rates Lima's 11-0 ahead of 10-5 on win percentage; Lima has been stopped less often. Pushing back: Borjas finishes 80% of his wins against 55%; a 1" reach edge for Borjas. Borjas carries genuine one-punch power — 8 of his 10 wins by knockout — the kind of threat that can erase a points lead in a second. The betting market reads it 18% / 82%, and that consensus carries half of the final number. If Lima gets it done, the scorecards is the most likely route (45%).

The 8th Day Engine sees this as close to a toss-up, leaning Otari Tanzilovi at 50% with low confidence. No betting line has opened yet, so this is the model unblended — expect the number to move once the books price it. If Tanzilovi gets it done, the scorecards is the most likely route (60%).

The 8th Day Engine makes Allan Nascimento the pick at 68% with high confidence — form and reach drive most of the edge. The case: Nascimento brings the stronger recent run (WWW); a 4.5" reach edge for Nascimento; Nascimento has been stopped less often. Pushing back: at 27 to 34, the age curve tilts toward Raposo; the stance matchup favours Raposo. The betting market reads it 36% / 64%, and that consensus carries half of the final number. If Nascimento gets it done, a submission is the most likely route (49%).

The 8th Day Engine makes Bia Mesquita the pick at 77% with high confidence — form and record quality drive most of the edge. The case: Mesquita brings the stronger recent run (WW); the model rates Mesquita's 7-0 ahead of 7-2 on win percentage; Mesquita has been stopped less often. Pushing back: at 34 to 35, the age curve tilts toward Mullins; a height advantage for Mullins. The betting market reads it 19% / 81%, and that consensus carries half of the final number. If Mesquita gets it done, a submission is the most likely route (50%).

The 8th Day Engine makes Michael Aswell the pick at 70% with high confidence — durability and record quality drive most of the edge. The case: Aswell has been stopped less often; the model rates Aswell's 11-3 ahead of 8-5 on win percentage. Pushing back: Bolaños finishes 75% of his wins against 55%; Bolaños brings the stronger recent run (LWLW). Bolaños carries genuine one-punch power — 6 of his 8 wins by knockout — the kind of threat that can erase a points lead in a second. The betting market reads it 77% / 23%, and that consensus carries half of the final number. If Aswell gets it done, a stoppage is the most likely route (49%).

The 8th Day Engine makes Luana Santos the pick at 64% with medium confidence — form and finishing ability drive most of the edge. The case: Santos brings the stronger recent run (WWLWW); Santos finishes 67% of his wins against 32%; Santos has been stopped less often. Pushing back: Rosa has the deeper résumé (26 pro fights to 11); at 31 to 26, the age curve tilts toward Rosa. No betting line has opened yet, so this is the model unblended — expect the number to move once the books price it. If Santos gets it done, the scorecards is the most likely route (44%).

The 8th Day Engine makes Levan Chokheli the pick at 62% with medium confidence — durability drives most of the edge. The case: Chokheli has been stopped less often. Pushing back: the model rates Shahbazyan's 7-2 ahead of 0-0 on win percentage. The betting market reads it 72% / 28%, and that consensus carries half of the final number. Worth knowing: the raw model sees this fight markedly closer than the betting line — the market's conviction in Chokheli is doing much of the work here. If Chokheli gets it done, the scorecards is the most likely route (40%).