Live Card · 8th Day Engine
Lightweight · Main Event

TORRESVSFIZIEV

Fight starts in
Manuel Torres
Manuel Torres
16-3
Switch
WWLWW
8th Day Engine Pick
Manuel Torres
64%
Medium Confidence
KO/TKO44%
Submission34%
Decision22%
64%Market: 50% / 50% (devigged)36%
Rafael Fiziev
Rafael Fiziev
13-5
Switch
LWLLL
8th Day Verdict

The 8th Day Engine makes Manuel Torres the pick at 64% with medium confidence — form and record quality drive most of the edge. The case: Torres brings the stronger recent run (WWLWW); the model rates Torres's 16-3 ahead of 13-5 on win percentage; Torres finishes 94% of his wins against 69%. Pushing back: Fiziev has been stopped less often. The betting market reads it 50% / 50%, and that consensus carries half of the final number. Worth knowing: the raw model is even more convinced than the books on this one. If Torres gets it done, a stoppage is the most likely route (44%).

Tale of the Tape
Manuel TorresRafael Fiziev
31Age33
5'10"Height5'8"
73"Reach71"
SwitchStanceSwitch
⚠️
How to read this page: the win-probability split on each bout is the 8th Day Engine — a deterministic model blending fighter records, finishing profiles, form, age, layoff, reach and stance with the live betting market. Market figures are the de-vigged bookmaker consensus. Confidence: High needs a 15-point edge on near-complete data; Medium a 7-point edge; tighter — or built on thin data — is Low.

Full Card

13 bouts
Middleweight Sat 27 Jun, 09:00
Brunno Ferreira
Brunno Ferreira
15-3
LWWWL
33%
Co-Main Event
8th Day Engine Pick
Ikram Aliskerov
High
KO/TKO 46%Sub 30%Dec 25%
67%
Ikram Aliskerov
Ikram Aliskerov
16-2
WWLWW
8th Day Verdict

The 8th Day Engine makes Ikram Aliskerov the pick at 67% with high confidence — form and reach drive most of the edge. The case: Aliskerov brings the stronger recent run (WWLWW); a 4" reach edge for Aliskerov; the stance matchup favours Aliskerov. Pushing back: Ferreira finishes 93% of his wins against 75%. No betting line has opened yet, so this is the model unblended — expect the number to move once the books price it. If Aliskerov gets it done, a stoppage is the most likely route (46%).

Tale of the Tape
Brunno FerreiraIkram Aliskerov
32Age33
5'10"Height6'0"
72"Reach76"
OrthodoxStanceSouthpaw
Middleweight Sat 27 Jun, 17:00
Michal Oleksiejczuk
Michal Oleksiejczuk
22-9
WWWLL
50%
Bout 3
8th Day Engine
Pick ’em
Too close to call
KO/TKO 59%Sub 11%Dec 30%
50%
Abus Magomedov
Abus Magomedov
28-6-1
LWWWL
Market: 50% / 50% (devigged)
8th Day Verdict

The 8th Day Engine sees this as close to a toss-up, leaning Michal Oleksiejczuk at 50% with low confidence. The case: Oleksiejczuk brings the stronger recent run (WWWLL); the stance matchup favours Oleksiejczuk. Pushing back: the model rates Magomedov's 28-6 ahead of 22-9 on win percentage; a 4" reach edge for Magomedov. The betting market reads it 50% / 50%, and that consensus carries half of the final number. If Oleksiejczuk gets it done, a stoppage is the most likely route (59%).

Tale of the Tape
Michal OleksiejczukAbus Magomedov
31Age35
6'0"Height6'2"
74"Reach78"
SouthpawStanceOrthodox
Flyweight Sat 27 Jun, 18:10
Charles Johnson
Charles Johnson
19-8
WLWLW
40%
Bout 4
8th Day Engine Pick
Asu Almabayev
Medium
KO/TKO 16%Sub 31%Dec 54%
60%
Asu Almabayev
Asu Almabayev
23-3
WWLWW
Market: 31% / 69% (devigged)
8th Day Verdict

The 8th Day Engine makes Asu Almabayev the pick at 60% with medium confidence — form and record quality drive most of the edge. The case: Almabayev brings the stronger recent run (WWLWW); the model rates Almabayev's 23-3 ahead of 19-8 on win percentage. Pushing back: Johnson has been stopped less often; a 5" reach edge for Johnson. The betting market reads it 31% / 69%, and that consensus carries half of the final number. Worth knowing: the raw model sees this fight markedly closer than the betting line — the market's conviction in Almabayev is doing much of the work here. If Almabayev gets it done, the scorecards is the most likely route (54%).

Tale of the Tape
Charles JohnsonAsu Almabayev
35Age32
5'9"Height5'4"
70"Reach65"
SwitchStanceOrthodox
Lightweight Sat 27 Jun, 18:40
Matheus Camilo
Matheus Camilo
9-3
WL
35%
Bout 5
8th Day Engine Pick
Nazim Sadykhov
High
KO/TKO 63%Sub 22%Dec 16%
65%
Nazim Sadykhov
Nazim Sadykhov
11-2-1
LWWWW
Market: 35% / 65% (devigged)
8th Day Verdict

The 8th Day Engine makes Nazim Sadykhov the pick at 65% with high confidence — form and record quality drive most of the edge. The case: Sadykhov brings the stronger recent run (LWWWW); the model rates Sadykhov's 11-2 ahead of 9-3 on win percentage; the stance matchup favours Sadykhov. The betting market reads it 35% / 65%, and that consensus carries half of the final number. If Sadykhov gets it done, a stoppage is the most likely route (63%).

Tale of the Tape
Matheus CamiloNazim Sadykhov
29Age32
5'10"Height5'10"
69"Reach69"
OrthodoxStanceSouthpaw
Middleweight Sat 27 Jun, 19:00
Michel Pereira
Michel Pereira
32-14
WLLLW
29%
Bout 6
8th Day Engine Pick
Shara Magomedov
High
KO/TKO 58%Sub 6%Dec 36%
71%
Shara Magomedov
Shara Magomedov
15-1
WLWWW
Market: 33% / 67% (devigged)
8th Day Verdict

The 8th Day Engine makes Shara Magomedov the pick at 71% with high confidence — form and record quality drive most of the edge. The case: Magomedov brings the stronger recent run (WLWWW); the model rates Magomedov's 15-1 ahead of 32-14 on win percentage; Magomedov has been stopped less often. Pushing back: Pereira has the deeper résumé (46 pro fights to 16). The betting market reads it 33% / 67%, and that consensus carries half of the final number. If Magomedov gets it done, a stoppage is the most likely route (58%).

Tale of the Tape
Michel PereiraShara Magomedov
32Age32
6'1"Height6'2"
73"Reach73"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
Middleweight · Prelims Sat 27 Jun, 06:00
Andrey Pulyaev
Andrey Pulyaev
10-4
LWL
27%
Bout 7
8th Day Engine Pick
Nursulton Ruziboev
High
KO/TKO 31%Sub 39%Dec 30%
73%
Nursulton Ruziboev
Nursulton Ruziboev
36-9-2
WWLWW
8th Day Verdict

The 8th Day Engine makes Nursulton Ruziboev the pick at 73% with high confidence — form and record quality drive most of the edge. The case: Ruziboev brings the stronger recent run (WWLWW); the model rates Ruziboev's 36-9 ahead of 10-4 on win percentage; Ruziboev has the deeper résumé (47 pro fights to 14). Pushing back: the stance matchup favours Pulyaev; a 2" reach edge for Pulyaev. No betting line has opened yet, so this is the model unblended — expect the number to move once the books price it. If Ruziboev gets it done, a submission is the most likely route (39%).

Tale of the Tape
Andrey PulyaevNursulton Ruziboev
28Age31
6'4"Height6'5"
78"Reach76"
SouthpawStanceOrthodox
Welterweight · Prelims Sat 27 Jun, 14:00
Jefferson Nascimento
Jefferson Nascimento
Pro debut
53%
Bout 8
8th Day Engine Pick
Jefferson Nascimento
Low Limited Data
KO/TKO 26%Sub 15%Dec 60%
47%
Tahir Abdullayev
Tahir Abdullayev
Pro debut
Market: 55% / 45% (devigged)
⚠ Thin on-record data — this estimate leans heavily on the betting market.
8th Day Verdict

The 8th Day Engine sees this as close to a toss-up, leaning Jefferson Nascimento at 53% with low confidence. The betting market reads it 55% / 45%, and that consensus carries half of the final number. If Nascimento gets it done, the scorecards is the most likely route (60%).

Tale of the Tape
Jefferson NascimentoTahir Abdullayev
Age
Height
Reach
Stance
Bantamweight · Prelims Sat 27 Jun, 14:30
Jean Matsumoto
Jean Matsumoto
17-2
LWLWW
58%
Bout 9
8th Day Engine Pick
Jean Matsumoto
Medium
KO/TKO 23%Sub 28%Dec 48%
42%
Bekzat Almakhan
Bekzat Almakhan
12-2
LWL
Market: 60% / 40% (devigged)
8th Day Verdict

The 8th Day Engine makes Jean Matsumoto the pick at 58% with medium confidence — durability and record quality drive most of the edge. The case: Matsumoto has been stopped less often; the model rates Matsumoto's 17-2 ahead of 12-2 on win percentage; Matsumoto brings the stronger recent run (LWLWW). Pushing back: Almakhan finishes 92% of his wins against 53%. Almakhan carries genuine one-punch power — 10 of his 12 wins by knockout — the kind of threat that can erase a points lead in a second. The betting market reads it 60% / 40%, and that consensus carries half of the final number. If Matsumoto gets it done, the scorecards is the most likely route (48%).

Tale of the Tape
Jean MatsumotoBekzat Almakhan
26Age27
5'6"Height5'7"
68"Reach68"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
Welterweight · Prelims Sat 27 Jun, 14:55
Theodor Berggren
Theodor Berggren
Pro debut
23%
Bout 10
8th Day Engine Pick
Daniil Donchenko
Low Limited Data
KO/TKO 45%Sub 12%Dec 43%
77%
Daniil Donchenko
Daniil Donchenko
14-2
WW
Market: 20% / 80% (devigged)
⚠ Thin on-record data — this estimate leans heavily on the betting market.
8th Day Verdict

The 8th Day Engine makes Daniil Donchenko the pick at 77% with low confidence — record quality and form drive most of the edge. The case: the model rates Donchenko's 14-2 ahead of 0-0 on win percentage; Donchenko brings the stronger recent run (WW). The betting market reads it 20% / 80%, and that consensus carries half of the final number. If Donchenko gets it done, a stoppage is the most likely route (45%).

Tale of the Tape
Theodor BerggrenDaniil Donchenko
Age29
Height5'11"
Reach71"
StanceOrthodox
Light Heavyweight · Prelims Sat 27 Jun, 15:15
Julius Walker
Julius Walker
7-2
LWL
30%
Bout 11
8th Day Engine Pick
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev
Medium Limited Data
KO/TKO 32%Sub 18%Dec 50%
70%
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev
Pro debut
WW
Market: 19% / 81% (devigged)
⚠ Thin on-record data — this estimate leans heavily on the betting market.
8th Day Verdict

The 8th Day Engine makes Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev the pick at 70% with medium confidence — form and durability drive most of the edge. The case: Yakhyaev brings the stronger recent run (WW); Yakhyaev has been stopped less often. Pushing back: the model rates Walker's 7-2 ahead of 0-0 on win percentage. The betting market reads it 19% / 81%, and that consensus carries half of the final number. Worth knowing: the raw model sees this fight markedly closer than the betting line — the market's conviction in Yakhyaev is doing much of the work here. If Yakhyaev gets it done, the scorecards is the most likely route (50%).

Tale of the Tape
Julius WalkerAbdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev
Age
6'4"Height
78"Reach
OrthodoxStance
Featherweight · Prelims Sat 27 Jun, 15:20
Javier Reyes
Javier Reyes
23-5
W
62%
Bout 12
8th Day Engine Pick
Javier Reyes
Medium
KO/TKO 38%Sub 26%Dec 35%
38%
Kaan Ofli
Kaan Ofli
14-4-1
WWLL
Market: 65% / 35% (devigged)
8th Day Verdict

The 8th Day Engine makes Javier Reyes the pick at 62% with medium confidence — reach and record quality drive most of the edge. The case: a 7" reach edge for Reyes; the model rates Reyes's 23-5 ahead of 14-4 on win percentage; Reyes finishes 83% of his wins against 64%. Pushing back: Ofli has been stopped less often; Ofli brings the stronger recent run (WWLL). The betting market reads it 65% / 35%, and that consensus carries half of the final number. If Reyes gets it done, a stoppage is the most likely route (38%).

Tale of the Tape
Javier ReyesKaan Ofli
31Age32
5'10"Height5'7"
73"Reach66"
StanceOrthodox
Welterweight · Prelims Sat 27 Jun, 16:35
Eric Nolan
Eric Nolan
Pro debut
L
43%
Bout 13
8th Day Engine Pick
Farman Hasanov
Low Limited Data
KO/TKO 26%Sub 15%Dec 60%
57%
Farman Hasanov
Farman Hasanov
Pro debut
Market: 40% / 60% (devigged)
⚠ Thin on-record data — this estimate leans heavily on the betting market.
8th Day Verdict

The 8th Day Engine makes Farman Hasanov the pick at 57% with low confidence — form drives most of the edge. The case: Hasanov brings the stronger recent run (). The betting market reads it 40% / 60%, and that consensus carries half of the final number. If Hasanov gets it done, the scorecards is the most likely route (60%).

Tale of the Tape
Eric NolanFarman Hasanov
Age
Height
Reach
Stance

Deterministic Model

No randomness. The same inputs always produce the same prediction.

Market Blend

The de-vigged bookmaker consensus is weighted in at 50%.

Multi-Factor

Records, form, reach, age, layoff, stance and finishing profile.

Published Uncertainty

Every pick carries a confidence tier — we show the doubt, not just the verdict.