Falcons

2026 Schedule & Predictions

Every game on the schedule with our call — including the ones months out that no bookmaker has priced yet. Predictions refresh weekly as ratings move, so a Week 15 call made today will look different by December. Bye weeks are shown where they fall.

Wk	Opponent	Our pick	Prob	Proj	Result
1	@ Steelers	Loss	41%	-2.9	—
2	vs Panthers	Win	60%	+3.2	—
3	@ Packers	Loss	40%	-3.2	—
4	@ Saints	Win	51%	+0.3	—
5	vs Ravens	Loss	46%	-1.4	—
6	vs Bears	Loss	46%	-1.2	—
7	vs 49ers	Loss	43%	-2.2	—
8	@ Buccaneers	Loss	47%	-1.1	—
9	vs Bengals	Loss	50%	-0.1	—
10	vs Chiefs	Win	55%	+1.5	—
11	Bye week
12	@ Vikings	Loss	37%	-4.2	—
13	vs Lions	Loss	44%	-1.9	—
14	@ Browns	Win	52%	+0.7	—
15	@ Commanders	Loss	48%	-0.6	—
16	vs Buccaneers	Win	55%	+1.7	—
17	vs Saints	Win	58%	+2.8	—
18	@ Panthers	Win	51%	+0.4	—

About This Rating

Atlanta Falcons currently rate 1,472, 18th of 32. The league average is 1500, and 25 rating points equal roughly one point of expected margin — so the gap between this club and an average one is worth about 1.1 points on neutral ground. This figure comes from 2025 results regressed toward the mean, with no offseason adjustment for the draft, free agency, trades or injuries.

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