Chiefs

2026 Schedule & Predictions

Every game on the schedule with our call — including the ones months out that no bookmaker has priced yet. Predictions refresh weekly as ratings move, so a Week 15 call made today will look different by December. Bye weeks are shown where they fall.

Wk	Opponent	Our pick	Prob	Proj	Result
1	vs Broncos	Loss	36%	-4.7	—
2	vs Colts	Win	55%	+1.7	—
3	@ Dolphins	Loss	48%	-0.5	—
4	@ Raiders	Win	62%	+4.1	—
5	Bye week
6	vs Chargers	Loss	50%	-0.1	—
7	@ Seahawks	Loss	20%	-10.8	—
8	@ Broncos	Loss	28%	-7.5	—
9	vs Jets	Win	69%	+6.3	—
10	@ Falcons	Loss	45%	-1.5	—
11	vs Cardinals	Win	65%	+5.2	—
12	@ Bills	Loss	30%	-7.0	—
13	@ Rams	Loss	29%	-7.3	—
14	@ Bengals	Loss	46%	-1.3	—
15	vs Patriots	Loss	36%	-4.8	—
16	vs 49ers	Loss	42%	-2.8	—
17	@ Chargers	Loss	39%	-3.6	—
18	vs Raiders	Win	70%	+6.9	—

About This Rating

Kansas City Chiefs currently rate 1,469, 19th of 32. The league average is 1500, and 25 rating points equal roughly one point of expected margin — so the gap between this club and an average one is worth about 1.2 points on neutral ground. This figure comes from 2025 results regressed toward the mean, with no offseason adjustment for the draft, free agency, trades or injuries.

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