Commanders

2026 Schedule & Predictions

Every game on the schedule with our call — including the ones months out that no bookmaker has priced yet. Predictions refresh weekly as ratings move, so a Week 15 call made today will look different by December. Bye weeks are shown where they fall.

Wk	Opponent	Our pick	Prob	Proj	Result
1	@ Eagles	Loss	34%	-5.2	—
2	@ Cowboys	Loss	47%	-1.1	—
3	vs Seahawks	Loss	26%	-8.4	—
4	vs Colts	Loss	49%	-0.3	—
5	vs Giants	Win	58%	+2.5	—
6	@ 49ers	Loss	33%	-5.9	—
7	Bye week
8	vs Eagles	Loss	45%	-1.7	—
9	vs Rams	Loss	35%	-5.1	—
10	@ Giants	Loss	49%	-0.3	—
11	vs Bengals	Win	52%	+0.8	—
12	@ Cardinals	Win	55%	+1.5	—
13	@ Titans	Win	58%	+2.6	—
14	vs Texans	Loss	34%	-5.2	—
15	vs Falcons	Win	52%	+0.6	—
16	@ Vikings	Loss	33%	-5.7	—
17	@ Jaguars	Loss	30%	-6.8	—
18	vs Cowboys	Win	55%	+1.7	—

About This Rating

Washington Commanders currently rate 1,451, 22th of 32. The league average is 1500, and 25 rating points equal roughly one point of expected margin — so the gap between this club and an average one is worth about 1.9 points on neutral ground. This figure comes from 2025 results regressed toward the mean, with no offseason adjustment for the draft, free agency, trades or injuries.

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