NFL 2026 · 8th Day Engine
Week 3 Predictions
24 Sep – 28 Sep 2026 · 16 games · 16 predicted
Where We Break From The Line
Week 3: we disagree on 5 games
Across 1,139 backtested games our disagreements with the closing line were right 41% of the time. We publish them regardless — and we publish how they land.
Every Week 3 Game
Published before kickoff · graded after
ATL
@
GB
ATL 40%
GB 60%
Green Bay Packers to win
60%
Total 45.2 Lean
Line
GB −7.5
CAR
@
CLE
CAR 47%
CLE 53%
Cleveland Browns to win
53%
Total 42.3 Coin Flip
Line
CAR −1.5
We differ
CIN
@
PIT
CIN 41%
PIT 59%
Pittsburgh Steelers to win
59%
Total 47.9 Lean
Line
CIN −1.5
We differ
HOU
@
IND
HOU 65%
IND 35%
Houston Texans to win
65%
Total 46.6 Solid
Line
HOU −1.5
KC
@
MIA
KC 48%
MIA 52%
Miami Dolphins to win
52%
Total 43.9 Coin Flip
Line
KC −7.5
We differ
LAC
@
BUF
LAC 35%
BUF 65%
Buffalo Bills to win
65%
Total 45.1 Solid
Line
BUF −3.0
NE
@
JAX
NE 49%
JAX 51%
Jacksonville Jaguars to win
51%
Total 46.2 Coin Flip
Line
JAX −1.5
NYJ
@
DET
NYJ 23%
DET 77%
Detroit Lions to win
77%
Total 48.7 Strong
Line
DET −9.5
SEA
@
WAS
SEA 74%
WAS 26%
Seattle Seahawks to win
74%
Total 46.6 Strong
Line
SEA −3.5
TEN
@
NYG
TEN 37%
NYG 63%
New York Giants to win
63%
Total 46.4 Solid
Line
NYG −3.0
ARI
@
SF
ARI 25%
SF 75%
San Francisco 49ers to win
75%
Total 48.0 Strong
Line
SF −11.5
MIN
@
TB
MIN 57%
TB 43%
Minnesota Vikings to win
57%
Total 44.1 Lean
Line
TB −1.5
We differ
BAL
@
DAL
BAL 61%
DAL 39%
Baltimore Ravens to win
61%
Total 50.8 Solid
Line
BAL −2.5
LV
@
NO
LV 33%
NO 67%
New Orleans Saints to win
67%
Total 42.0 Solid
Line
NO −3.5
LAR
@
DEN
LAR 44%
DEN 56%
Denver Broncos to win
56%
Total 46.6 Lean
Line
LAR −3.0
We differ
PHI
@
CHI
PHI 47%
CHI 53%
Chicago Bears to win
53%
Total 45.3 Coin Flip
Line
CHI −1.5