Ivory Coast Predictions
AI-powered match predictions, accuracy tracking, and bookmaker consensus comparisons.
📊 Past Predictions (latest 7)
Norway held off a comeback attempt from Ivory Coast to win 2-1 in a match that unfolded pretty much as our model had sketched it out beforehand. Nusa opened the scoring for Norway in the 39th minute with an assist from Odegaard, giving the visitors an early foothold. Ivory Coast pulled level through Diallo in the 74th minute—Pepe with the assist—to set up a tense finale, but Haaland settled it for Norway with a late goal in the 86th, Berg providing the assist for a one-goal margin that held.
Our prediction of a 1-2 Norway win landed spot-on with the exact scoreline. Before kickoff, the model had leaned toward a Norway victory at 55% probability, reflecting their higher scoring output and slight ELO edge despite mixed away form. The match played out consistently with that expectation: Norway's attacking threat came through, Ivory Coast showed fight from their strong home position, and the total of three goals tracked with what we'd flagged. Getting both the result direction and the exact score right is the kind of outcome that keeps the model honest, though it's worth remembering that 55% was a lean, not a certainty—two other outcomes were entirely plausible going in, and this just happened to be the one that landed.
Ivory Coast dominated this World Cup group-stage clash to secure a convincing 2-0 victory over Curaçao. Pépé got the ball rolling early, firing home in the 7th minute after a setup from Diomande, then sealed the result with a second goal in the 64th minute, this time assisted by Sangaré. It was a controlled performance from the Ivorians that underlined the quality gap between the two sides.
Our model predicted a 0-2 scoreline heading into kickoff, giving Ivory Coast a 78% chance to win. That outcome landed spot on — both the result direction and the exact scoreline. Before the match, the form lines suggested Ivory Coast were the clear favourites, with Curaçao struggling against quality opposition and the Ivorians coming in with recent momentum. The match unfolded in line with those expectations, with Ivory Coast's attacking intent and defensive solidity proving too much for their opponents.
Getting the score exactly right on a World Cup fixture is rare, and it's worth noting that a 78% lean is a strong call but still leaves room for the other outcomes that didn't materialise. In this case, Ivory Coast's quality simply showed on the day, and our prediction was borne out by what we saw on the pitch.
Germany defeated Ivory Coast 2-1 in a World Cup group stage clash that unfolded in tighter fashion than our pre-match model had anticipated. Ivory Coast struck first through Kessie in the 30th minute, a setback that contradicted the defensive resilience the visitors had shown in their recent away form. Germany equalised through Undav in the 68th minute with an assist from Amiri, then secured the win when Undav struck again in the 90+4th minute, this time set up by Nmecha, to settle a match that remained competitive until the final whistle.
Our prediction of a 3-1 Germany win carried a 72 per cent win probability for the home side—a clear lean towards German victory, but one that left room for tighter outcomes. The actual 2-1 scoreline fell within the plausible range, though it reflected a lower-scoring affair than modelled. Before kickoff, the analysis had weighted Germany's strong home form and goal-scoring average against Ivory Coast's impressive defensive record on the road. The match bore out that competitive tension: Germany's dominance materialised, but Ivory Coast proved harder to break down than the predicted margin suggested, and their early goal ensured the contest remained live until late in the match. The model missed the exact score, a reminder that tournament football, even at the group stage, carries genuine uncertainty around the margins.
Ivory Coast claimed a narrow 1-0 victory over Ecuador in a World Cup encounter decided by a late goal. The match remained scoreless through 59 minutes, with both sides creating limited clear-cut chances. Diallo broke the deadlock in the 90th minute with an assist from Singo, securing the win in stoppage time when the contest appeared destined for a draw.
Our pre-match model predicted a 1-1 draw and assigned Ivory Coast a 21% win probability. Ecuador entered as the favoured outcome at 50%, reflecting their perceived strength relative to their opponent. The actual result—an Ivory Coast victory—fell well outside the model's primary lean. The late timing of the goal and the match's overall pattern of play diverged from what the pre-match analysis had weighted. With minimal expected goals generated by either side through the hour mark, a stalemate seemed the likeliest path, yet Ivory Coast found a decisive moment when it mattered most.
The prediction miss underscores the inherent limits of pre-match modelling in tight, low-scoring fixtures. Tournament football frequently produces results at the extremes of the probability distribution, and this encounter proved no exception. The model's emphasis on Ecuador's attacking threat and draw probability reflected available information at kickoff, but it could not anticipate the specific tactical or individual performance factors that would shift the balance late in the match.