This card is announced — predictions land closer to fight night. The full bout list below is the official lineup for UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2. The 8th Day Engine generates win probabilities, method-of-victory splits and confidence ratings for every fight as the event approaches and the data firms up. Check back as McGregor vs. Holloway 2 nears. Cards can change — bouts may be added, moved or withdrawn.
Full Card
14 bouts
Lightweight Sun 12 Jul, 02:00
Paddy Pimblett
23-4
34%
Co-Main Event
8th Day Engine Pick
Benoit Saint-Denis
High
KO/TKO 31%Sub 44%Dec 25%
66%
Benoit Saint-Denis
17-3
Why this pick
Favours the pick
Recent formDenis
Stance matchupDenis
Finishing abilityDenis
Against the pick
DurabilityPimblett
Track recordPimblett
ExperiencePimblett
Tale of the Tape
Paddy PimblettBenoit Saint-Denis
31Age30
5'10"Height5'11"
73"Reach73"
OrthodoxStanceSouthpaw
Bantamweight Sun 12 Jul, 02:00
Cory Sandhagen
18-6
40%
Bout 3
8th Day Engine Pick
Mario Bautista
Medium
KO/TKO 20%Sub 30%Dec 51%
60%
Mario Bautista
17-3
Why this pick
Favours the pick
Recent formBautista
AgeBautista
Track recordBautista
Against the pick
DurabilitySandhagen
ReachSandhagen
HeightSandhagen
Tale of the Tape
Cory SandhagenMario Bautista
34Age32
5'11"Height5'9"
70"Reach69"
SwitchStanceSwitch
Flyweight Sun 12 Jul, 02:00
Brandon Royval
17-9
48%
Bout 4
8th Day Engine Pick
Lone'er Kavanagh
Low
KO/TKO 34%Sub 12%Dec 55%
52%
Lone'er Kavanagh
10-1
Why this pick
Favours the pick
Recent formKavanagh
Track recordKavanagh
Against the pick
DurabilityRoyval
Stance matchupRoyval
Finishing abilityRoyval
ExperienceRoyval
Tale of the Tape
Brandon RoyvalLone'er Kavanagh
33Age26
5'9"Height5'6"
68"Reach67"
SouthpawStanceOrthodox
Lightweight Sun 12 Jul, 02:00
Bobby Green
35-17-1
42%
Bout 5
8th Day Engine Pick
Terrance McKinney
MediumLimited Data
KO/TKO 35%Sub 36%Dec 30%
58%
Terrance McKinney
18-8
⚠ Limited on-record data for one or both fighters — a low-confidence estimate, not a strong read.
Why this pick
Favours the pick
AgeMcKinney
Track recordMcKinney
Against the pick
DurabilityGreen
Recent formGreen
Tale of the Tape
Bobby GreenTerrance McKinney
39Age31
–Height5'10"
–Reach73.5"
–StanceSwitch
Middleweight · Prelims Sun 12 Jul, 02:00
Cesar Almeida
Pro debut
32%
Bout 6
8th Day Engine Pick
Damian Pinas
HighLimited Data
KO/TKO 60%Sub 10%Dec 30%
68%
Damian Pinas
Pro debut
⚠ Limited on-record data for one or both fighters — a low-confidence estimate, not a strong read.
Why this pick
Favours the pick
ReachPinas
Track recordPinas
Finishing abilityPinas
Recent formPinas
Tale of the Tape
Cesar AlmeidaDamian Pinas
–Age–
6'1"Height6'1"
74"Reach79.5"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
Middleweight · Prelims Sun 12 Jul, 02:00
Ryan Gandra
Pro debut
46%
Bout 7
8th Day Engine Pick
Zach Reese
LowLimited Data
KO/TKO 49%Sub 29%Dec 22%
54%
Zach Reese
Pro debut
⚠ Limited on-record data for one or both fighters — a low-confidence estimate, not a strong read.
Why this pick
Favours the pick
DurabilityReese
ReachReese
Stance matchupReese
HeightReese
Against the pick
Track recordGandra
Recent formGandra
Tale of the Tape
Ryan GandraZach Reese
–Age–
6'1"Height6'4"
74.5"Reach77"
OrthodoxStanceSwitch
Bantamweight · Prelims Sun 12 Jul, 02:00
Cody Garbrandt
Pro debut
47%
Bout 8
8th Day Engine Pick
Adrian Yanez
LowLimited Data
KO/TKO 54%Sub 16%Dec 30%
53%
Adrian Yanez
Pro debut
⚠ Limited on-record data for one or both fighters — a low-confidence estimate, not a strong read.
Why this pick
Favours the pick
ReachYanez
Track recordYanez
DurabilityYanez
Against the pick
Recent formGarbrandt
ActivityGarbrandt
HeightGarbrandt
Tale of the Tape
Cody GarbrandtAdrian Yanez
–Age–
5'8"Height5'7"
65.5"Reach70"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
Heavyweight · Prelims Sun 12 Jul, 02:00
Gable Steveson
Pro debut
50%
Bout 9
8th Day Engine
Pick ’em
Too close to call
KO/TKO 26%Sub 15%Dec 60%
50%
Elisha Ellison
Pro debut
Flyweight · Prelims CancelledSun 12 Jul, 02:00
CD
Cody Durden
Pro debut
50%
Bout 10
8th Day Engine
Prediction locks closer to fight night
50%
OO
Ode' Osbourne
Pro debut
Featherweight · Prelims Sun 12 Jul, 02:00
Kai Kamaka III
Pro debut
48%
Bout 11
8th Day Engine Pick
Luke Riley
LowLimited Data
KO/TKO 32%Sub 18%Dec 50%
52%
Luke Riley
Pro debut
⚠ Limited on-record data for one or both fighters — a low-confidence estimate, not a strong read.
Why this pick
Favours the pick
DurabilityRiley
Recent formRiley
Against the pick
Track recordKamaka
Tale of the Tape
Kai Kamaka IIILuke Riley
26Age–
5'7"Height–
69"Reach–
OrthodoxStance–
Light Heavyweight · Prelims Sun 12 Jul, 02:00
Robert Whittaker
17-7
35%
Bout 12
8th Day Engine Pick
Nikita Krylov
MediumLimited Data
KO/TKO 40%Sub 39%Dec 21%
65%
Nikita Krylov
Pro debut
⚠ Limited on-record data for one or both fighters — a low-confidence estimate, not a strong read.
Why this pick
Favours the pick
Recent formKrylov
Finishing abilityKrylov
ReachKrylov
HeightKrylov
Against the pick
DurabilityWhittaker
Track recordWhittaker
Tale of the Tape
Robert WhittakerNikita Krylov
–Age–
6'0"Height6'3"
73.5"Reach77.5"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
Women's Flyweight · Prelims Sun 12 Jul, 02:00
Tracy Cortez
Pro debut
30%
Bout 13
8th Day Engine Pick
Cong Wang
HighLimited Data
KO/TKO 26%Sub 21%Dec 53%
70%
Cong Wang
Pro debut
⚠ Limited on-record data for one or both fighters — a low-confidence estimate, not a strong read.
Why this pick
Favours the pick
Recent formCong
Finishing abilityCong
Stance matchupCong
HeightCong
Against the pick
DurabilityCortez
ExperienceCortez
Tale of the Tape
Tracy CortezCong Wang
–Age–
5'5"Height5'6"
65.5"Reach65.5"
OrthodoxStanceSouthpaw
Bantamweight · Prelims Sun 12 Jul, 02:00
Farid Basharat
Pro debut
63%
Bout 14
8th Day Engine Pick
Farid Basharat
LowLimited Data
KO/TKO 26%Sub 15%Dec 60%
37%
Ethyn Ewing
Pro debut
⚠ Limited on-record data for one or both fighters — a low-confidence estimate, not a strong read.
Why this pick
Favours the pick
Recent formBasharat
Tale of the Tape
Farid BasharatEthyn Ewing
–Age–
5'8"Height–
71"Reach–
OrthodoxStance–
Deterministic Model
No randomness. The same inputs always produce the same prediction.
Market Blend
Engaged once betting odds open. Until then these are pure model — markets are intentionally ignored.
Multi-Factor
Records, form, reach, age, layoff, stance and finishing profile.
Published Uncertainty
Every pick carries a confidence tier — we show the doubt, not just the verdict.
