Al-Hazm vs Al Taawon
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 13 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Hazm Win | 3/1 3.94 | 24% | 6% | -18% |
| Draw Value | 3/1 3.90 | 24% | 32% | +8% |
| Al Taawon Win Value | 8/11 1.76 | 52% | 62% | +10% |
⚡ Stakes & Context
- 😴 Al-Hazm mid-table (P9) — low motivation
- 😴 Al Taawon mid-table (P6) — low motivation
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Al-Hazm home record is solid (LWWWW) but low-scoring; Al Taawon away form reads WWDDD with consistent output
H2H: Al Taawon unbeaten in last 8 (3W 5D), avg 3.1 goals per game — historically productive fixture
Stakes: Both sides mid-table with minimal motivation, slight edge to Al Taawon who sit higher at P6
Betting: Implied away win probability 56% aligns with 1-2 scoreline; BTTS supported by H2H history and both sides' scoring records
⚔️ Head to Head
Al Taawon are unbeaten in the last 8 meetings (3 wins, 5 draws) and the fixture averages 3.1 goals per game — a historically high-scoring and draw-prone matchup where Al Taawon have consistently performed well.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Al-Hazm have scored in 4 of their last 5 matches and their home form suggests they can find the net against most opponents; Al Taawon's attack is prolific but their away defensive record (WWDDD) shows games are competitive — Al-Hazm are likely to grab at least one goal while Al Taawon's quality ensures they score too.
Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
With a H2H average of 3.1 goals per game, Al Taawon averaging 1.95 goals scored per match, and Al-Hazm conceding 1.75 per game on average, the ingredients are present for a game exceeding 2.5 goals — a 1-2 scoreline lands exactly on 3 total goals, consistent with the over 2.5 expectation driven by both sides' attacking and defensive profiles.