Andorra vs Iraq
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 8 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andorra Win Value | 6/1 7.20 | 13% | 27% | +14% |
| Draw Value | 3/1 3.93 | 24% | 37% | +13% |
| Iraq Win | 4/9 1.47 | 63% | 36% | -27% |
📊 Heads up: bookmakers disagree
Across 8 bookmakers, the consensus favoured Iraq (63% implied probability). Our engine saw this match differently.
We surface this disagreement so you can weigh both views. The pick above is our engine's, not the bookmakers' — but if you'd usually trust the market, this is worth knowing.
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
⚡ Stakes & Context
- ⏱️ Rest advantage: Andorra (192d) vs Iraq (167d) — Andorra significantly fresher
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Andorra averaging 1.55 scored / 1.75 conceded; Iraq averaging 1.37 scored / 1.28 conceded — Iraq more defensively reliable
H2H: Limited data available between these two nations
Stakes: Friendly match, both sides well-rested (192 vs 167 days); no relegation/promotion pressure — slight motivation edge to Iraq maintaining form ahead of competitive cycle
Betting: a clean sheet for one side, under 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 0-1.
⚔️ Head to Head
Limited data — no meaningful H2H history to significantly influence prediction.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: No
The projected 0-1 scoreline has at least one side kept off the scoresheet.
Over 2.5 Goals: No
The projected 0-1 scoreline totals 1 goals, keeping it under 2.5.