Beşiktaş vs Hradec Králové
📖 The Preview
Beşiktaş go into this second leg with a one-goal cushion from Turkey and the bookies have them as heavy favourites at 66%, so the momentum is firmly on their side. Hradec Králové need to come here and win, which is a tall order for a side visiting Istanbul in a Europa League knockout tie. Recent form for both sides is decent, but Beşiktaş at home, protecting a lead, with the crowd behind them? That's a different beast. A clean 2-0 feels right — the hosts do enough to kill the tie off without overcommitting.
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 14 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beşiktaş Win | 2/7 1.29 | 71% | 66% | -5% |
| Draw | 4/1 5.10 | 18% | 21% | +3% |
| Hradec Králové Win | 8/1 8.75 | 11% | 13% | +2% |
⚡ Stakes & Context
- 🏆 UEFA Europa League knockout — elimination stakes
- 🔢 First leg 0-1 (2026-08-06): Beşiktaş leading aggregate by 1. Beşiktaş needs to avoid losing by 2+ goals; Hradec Králové needs to win by 1+ goals (or force ET if win by exactly 1).
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Beşiktaş xG 2.63 | Hradec Králové xG 0.68
Projected: 77% / 18% / 5%
Betting: a clean sheet for one side, under 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 2-0.
⚔️ Head to Head
Limited H2H data
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: No
The projected 2-0 scoreline has at least one side kept off the scoresheet.
Over 2.5 Goals: No
The projected 2-0 scoreline totals 2 goals, keeping it under 2.5.