Croatia vs Belgium
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 13 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Croatia Win | 13/8 2.62 | 36% | 32% | -4% |
| Draw Value | 5/2 3.40 | 28% | 38% | +10% |
| Belgium Win | 13/8 2.60 | 36% | 30% | -6% |
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Both sides average 1 scored, 1 conceded, 50% win rate — perfectly balanced
H2H: Last 2 meetings: 0-0 and 1-0 — defensively cautious encounters, neutral dominance
Stakes: International friendly with both squads fully available; no relegation/promotion pressure — moderate motivation only
Betting: both teams to score, under 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 1-1.
⚔️ Head to Head
Only 2 recent meetings — both tight and low-scoring (0-0 in 2022, 1-0 to Belgium in 2021). Neutral dominance with Croatia yet to score in this H2H run.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
The projected 1-1 scoreline has both teams finding the net.
Over 2.5 Goals: No
The projected 1-1 scoreline totals 2 goals, keeping it under 2.5.