Haiti vs New Zealand
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 13 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haiti Win | 15/8 2.90 | 32% | 31% | -1% |
| Draw Value | 9/4 3.22 | 29% | 39% | +10% |
| New Zealand Win | 11/8 2.41 | 39% | 30% | -9% |
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Haiti LDLW averaging 1.85 scored/1.83 conceded; New Zealand LLDLLLLW averaging just 0.73 scored/1.98 conceded
H2H: Limited data available
Stakes: International friendly with no competitive stakes for either side — classic draw scenario with low motivation to overcommit
Betting: Bookmakers imply near-equal home/away probability (35%/41%) with a draw highly plausible; low xG totals (0.79 + 0.75) suggest a tight, under-2.5 game
⚔️ Head to Head
Limited data
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Haiti have scored in 3 of their last 4 matches and carry an attacking threat, while New Zealand, despite poor form, have found the net in recent outings including a 1-1 draw. Both teams have enough quality to register at least one goal each in a low-intensity friendly environment.
Over 2.5 Goals: No
The statistical model produces combined xG of just 1.54, and both teams are in poor-to-moderate form. New Zealand average only 0.73 goals scored per game and Haiti's defensive record is inconsistent but tight games dominate their recent results. Under 2.5 goals is well supported here.