Haiti Predictions
AI-powered match predictions, accuracy tracking, and bookmaker consensus comparisons.
📊 Past Predictions (latest 7)
Morocco swept past Haiti with a commanding 4-2 victory in what turned out to be a more open contest than our pre-match model had anticipated. An own goal from Bono inside the opening ten minutes set the tone early, before Hakimi doubled the lead on 39 minutes. Haiti pulled one back through Isidor just before the break, but Morocco reasserted control decisively. Saibari restored the two-goal buffer in first-half stoppage time with an assist from Hakimi, then Rahimi added the fourth on 78 minutes off a pass from Riad. Yassine rounded things off late on with a finish created by Rahimi.
Our prediction of a 3-0 scoreline with Morocco winning at 82% gave us the result direction spot on, but we underestimated Haiti's capacity to trouble the Moroccan defence. The model had weighted a clean sheet heavily, when in reality Haiti's dogged approach and moments of quality—particularly Isidor's finish and the build-up play that set it up—showed enough to register twice. That said, the pre-match expectation of Morocco's dominance and their ability to score multiple goals proved accurate; they simply weren't quite as watertight at the back as expected.
The shape of the match held broadly to what we'd flagged beforehand. Morocco's attacking intent was unmistakable from the start, and Haiti's challenge was always going to lean on opportunism rather than sustained control. Missing the exact scoreline is a fair miss—this wasn't a curveball, just a reminder that World Cup football's unpredictability means even strong leans can play out with different margins and defensive frailties than the numbers suggest.
Brazil dismantled Haiti 3-0 in a dominant World Cup group-stage performance that unfolded almost exactly as our model anticipated. Matheus Cunha opened the scoring in the 23rd minute and doubled Brazil's advantage with a second goal in the 36th, assisted by Vinicius Junior. The rout was completed in first-half stoppage time when Vinicius Junior added a third, set up by Lucas Paqueta. The 3-0 scoreline matched our pre-match prediction precisely, arriving at the outcome our model had tagged as the most likely at 86 percent probability for a Brazil victory.
The match tracked closely with the pre-match setup. Haiti's vulnerabilities away from home—flagged in their poor away form entering the fixture—were exposed by Brazil's attacking intensity and defensive solidity. Brazil's motivation to set a strong tone on home soil translated into the kind of early dominance that converted expected attacking threat into goals. The first-half rhythm, in which Brazil built a commanding lead before halftime, mirrored the attacking advantage the model had identified, underpinned by Brazil's xG of 2.92 against Haiti's limited ability to threaten.
This was a straightforward statement of superiority from the designated home side, with the gap in quality between the teams—already apparent in their ELO separation—laid bare by match-day execution. The prediction landed not because of prescience but because the underlying imbalance between the teams held firm across ninety minutes.
Scotland's early strike proved decisive in this World Cup group stage opener, with J. McGinn breaking the deadlock in the 28th minute to secure a 1-0 victory over Haiti. The single goal margin meant a tightly contested match that fell short of the attacking output both sides had suggested they were capable of producing before kickoff.
Our model predicted a 1-2 scoreline with Scotland favoured at 64% probability to win, framing the tie as competitive but tilted toward the visitors. The result vindicated the outcome direction but not the scoreline; the model had weighted a higher goal total based on Scotland's recent offensive form—back-to-back 4-0 and 4-1 wins had inflated expected goals projections—and Haiti's demonstrated ability to score at home. In practice, Haiti's defence held firm and Scotland's attack, despite the early breakthrough, could not add a second. The match unfolded as the kind of narrow victory the model deemed plausible among several realistic outcomes, rather than its single most probable scenario. Haiti's actual performance aligned with the lower end of their attacking potential, while Scotland converted efficiency into three points without the cushion the pre-match data had suggested might materialise. Both sides remain level on standings entering their next fixtures, with the quality of their respective approaches to be tested further as the group stage progresses.