Iran vs Gambia
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 9 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran Win Value | 8/15 1.55 | 60% | 70% | +10% |
| Draw | 11/4 3.84 | 24% | 23% | -1% |
| Gambia Win | 5/1 6.00 | 16% | 7% | -9% |
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Iran averaging 1.31 goals scored with solid defensive shape (0.74 conceded); Gambia averaging 1.56 scored but 1.34 conceded — leaky defensively
H2H: Limited data available
Stakes: International friendly with both sides well-rested after 191 days off — Iran motivated to impress on home soil, Gambia treating this as preparatory
Betting: a clean sheet for one side, under 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 2-0.
⚔️ Head to Head
Limited data — no significant H2H trend to draw from; defaulting to current form and statistical model
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: No
The projected 2-0 scoreline has at least one side kept off the scoresheet.
Over 2.5 Goals: No
The projected 2-0 scoreline totals 2 goals, keeping it under 2.5.