Iran Predictions
AI-powered match predictions, accuracy tracking, and bookmaker consensus comparisons.
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📊 Past Predictions (latest 7)
Egypt and Iran played out a tight World Cup encounter that finished level at 1-1, a result our model had flagged as genuinely plausible before kickoff. Saber gave Egypt an early lead in the fifth minute, but Iran hit back quickly—Taremi levelled from the penalty spot in the 11th, then Rezaeian put them ahead just three minutes later in the 14th. From there, neither side managed to break through again, and the match settled into a stalemate that saw both teams cancel each other out.
Our pre-match prediction of a 3-3 scoreline didn't come off, but the draw itself did. We'd given the draw a 42% probability—our most likely outcome—so calling the result direction was solid, even if we misjudged how the goals would be distributed. The match unfolded more defensively than the xG projections we'd outlined before the whistle, with both teams unable to create the clear-cut chances that would've pushed the scoreline higher. It's the sort of thing that happens in tight tournament football, where set pieces and transitions matter just as much as the underlying quality metrics.
The gap between a predicted 3-3 and an actual 1-1 is a reminder that football doesn't always reward even-handed matchups with a flood of goals. Our model had weighted the draw heavily enough that the result lands well within the plausible range, but we clearly got the intensity of the attacking play wrong. Sometimes the game just tightens up, and this one did.
Belgium and Iran played out a goalless draw in a World Cup group-stage clash that defied pre-match expectations for an open, attacking contest. The match remained scoreless throughout, though Belgium's task grew substantially harder when N. Ngoy was sent off in the 66th minute, reducing the designated home side to ten men for the final stretch. Neither team managed to break the deadlock despite the high stakes of group-stage football, where both sides arrived with clear motivation to secure a positive result.
Our model predicted a 2-1 Belgium victory before kickoff, assigning a 55% win probability to Belgium and just 22% to a draw. The goalless outcome fell well outside the model's primary lean, which had weighted a more attacking, open match. That forecast rested on Belgium's full squad fitness and recent momentum against Iran's strong recent form, which included goals in four of their last five outings. The red card to Ngoy at the hour mark altered the tactical shape considerably, but the prediction's emphasis on attacking potential did not align with how the match actually unfolded. This represents a clear miss for the model, which had not anticipated such a cautious, low-scoring outcome despite the tournament pressure and group-stage urgency facing both sides.
Iran and New Zealand played out a thoroughly even contest in a 2-2 draw that saw both sides exchange goals across the ninety minutes. New Zealand struck first through Just in the seventh minute, assisted by Wood, before Iran levelled through Rezaeian in the 32nd minute. The pattern repeated in the second half: Just added his second, again from a Wood assist, in the 54th minute to restore New Zealand's lead, only for Iran to equalise once more when Mohebi scored in the 64th minute with Rezaeian providing the assist. The match remained deadlocked thereafter, with neither side able to break the stalemate despite having opportunities in the closing stages.
Our model predicted a 3-2 scoreline with Iran favoured at 67% to win, reflecting a view that Iran would edge a tight fixture. The actual draw carried a pre-match probability of just 20% in our forecast—a plausible outcome within the model's distribution, but clearly not the primary lean. The prediction was built on the expectation of higher-intensity attacking play and fewer defensive errors than ultimately materialised. Instead, the match developed into a more balanced affair, with both teams defending resolutely enough in the final stages to deny either a winner. The xG projections flagged late in the match suggested neither side had created the clear-cut chances needed to force a decisive goal, an observation borne out by the 2-2 final scoreline.