Maccabi Tel Aviv vs CSKA Sofia
📖 The Preview
Maccabi Tel Aviv are slight favourites here at just over half a chance to win, and on their home patch in a Europa League knockout they should have enough to edge it 2-1. Their recent form looks solid with four wins from five, and the extra home advantage in an elimination game matters. CSKA Sofia have been decent - that long unbeaten run is hard to ignore - and they'll grab one back, which is why both teams score here. But Maccabi should have just enough to see them off.
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 13 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Tel Aviv Win | 1/1 1.98 | 47% | 51% | +4% |
| Draw | 9/4 3.31 | 28% | 25% | -3% |
| CSKA Sofia Win | 11/4 3.75 | 25% | 24% | -1% |
⚡ Stakes & Context
- 🏆 UEFA Europa League knockout — elimination stakes
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Maccabi in strong home form (WW), high-scoring domestically; CSKA solid on the road but fatigued on 3 days rest
H2H: Limited data available
Stakes: UEFA Europa League knockout — both teams at maximum intensity, elimination on the line
Betting: both teams to score, over 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 2-1.
⚔️ Head to Head
Limited data — insufficient H2H history to draw reliable trends between these two sides.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
The projected 2-1 scoreline has both teams finding the net.
Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
The projected 2-1 scoreline totals 3 goals, clearing the 2.5 line.