Morton vs Partick
📖 The Preview
Morton have been pretty rough lately, losing four of their last five, while Partick come in with a more settled look to their recent form. The head-to-head leans Partick's way too, with Morton winning just once in eight meetings. It's tight, mind you, and a draw is very much in the picture, but Partick's slight edge in quality and consistency points to them nicking it with a single goal and keeping things quiet at the other end.
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 13 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morton Win Value | 9/2 5.34 | 17% | 33% | +16% |
| Draw Value | 3/1 4.00 | 23% | 30% | +7% |
| Partick Win | 8/15 1.55 | 60% | 37% | -23% |
⚡ Stakes & Context
- 🆕 Fresh standings — no meaningful positions established yet, both sides starting on equal footing
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Morton LLLLD with 0 goals scored in 5 matches; Partick DDDWWD with 2.92 avg goals scored
H2H: Draw-prone series but Partick have won 3 of 8, including last meeting at this venue 1-2
Stakes: Both teams early in season with no meaningful positions — normal motivation for both sides
Betting: a clean sheet for one side, under 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 0-1.
⚔️ Head to Head
Draw-prone series overall, but Partick have won the last meeting at Morton (1-2 in March 2026) and hold 3 wins to Morton's 1 across last 8. Low-to-mid scoring trend with average of 2.5 goals per game.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: No
The projected 0-1 scoreline has at least one side kept off the scoresheet.
Over 2.5 Goals: No
The projected 0-1 scoreline totals 1 goals, keeping it under 2.5.