Saudi Arabia vs Senegal
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 12 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia Win Value | 5/1 5.90 | 16% | 42% | +26% |
| Draw | 3/1 3.91 | 24% | 22% | -2% |
| Senegal Win | 8/15 1.55 | 60% | 36% | -24% |
📊 Heads up: bookmakers disagree
Across 12 bookmakers, the consensus favoured Senegal (60% implied probability). Our engine saw this match differently.
We surface this disagreement so you can weigh both views. The pick above is our engine's, not the bookmakers' — but if you'd usually trust the market, this is worth knowing.
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Saudi Arabia home form is mixed (DLWLWW), Senegal away form is inconsistent (WWLL) but overall form is strong (LWWWWDWWLL). Senegal averaging 1.56 goals scored vs Saudi Arabia's 0.87.
H2H: Limited historical data between these sides.
Stakes: Friendly match with World Cup 2026 preparation context — Senegal highly motivated to assert quality, Saudi Arabia playing at home with pride at stake.
Betting: both teams to score, over 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 1-2.
⚔️ Head to Head
Limited data — these nations rarely meet; no significant H2H trend to draw from.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
The projected 1-2 scoreline has both teams finding the net.
Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
The projected 1-2 scoreline totals 3 goals, clearing the 2.5 line.