Bills

2026 Schedule & Predictions

Every game on the schedule with our call — including the ones months out that no bookmaker has priced yet. Predictions refresh weekly as ratings move, so a Week 15 call made today will look different by December. Bye weeks are shown where they fall.

Wk	Opponent	Our pick	Prob	Proj	Result
1	@ Texans	Loss	45%	-1.7	—
2	vs Lions	Win	62%	+3.9	—
3	vs Chargers	Win	65%	+5.0	—
4	vs Patriots	Win	53%	+1.1	—
5	@ Rams	Loss	45%	-1.6	—
6	@ Raiders	Win	77%	+9.6	—
7	Bye week
8	vs Ravens	Win	65%	+4.9	—
9	@ Vikings	Win	52%	+0.6	—
10	@ Jets	Win	76%	+9.0	—
11	vs Dolphins	Win	73%	+7.8	—
12	vs Chiefs	Win	70%	+7.0	—
13	@ Patriots	Loss	46%	-1.4	—
14	@ Packers	Win	57%	+2.3	—
15	vs Bears	Win	63%	+4.2	—
16	@ Broncos	Loss	44%	-1.9	—
17	@ Dolphins	Win	66%	+5.2	—
18	vs Jets	Win	82%	+11.9	—

About This Rating

Buffalo Bills currently rate 1,608, 6th of 32. The league average is 1500, and 25 rating points equal roughly one point of expected margin — so the gap between this club and an average one is worth about 4.3 points on neutral ground. This figure comes from 2025 results regressed toward the mean, with no offseason adjustment for the draft, free agency, trades or injuries.

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