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Houston Texans logo
Houston

Texans

AFC South
Rating
1,617
League rank
#3
2025 record
12-5
Points /g
23.8
Allowed /g
17.4

2026 Schedule & Predictions

Every game on the schedule with our call โ€” including the ones months out that no bookmaker has priced yet. Predictions refresh weekly as ratings move, so a Week 15 call made today will look different by December. Bye weeks are shown where they fall.

WkOpponentOur pick ProbProjResult
1 vs Buffalo Bills logo Bills Win 55% +1.7 โ€”
2 vs Cincinnati Bengals logo Bengals Win 71% +7.1 โ€”
3 @ Indianapolis Colts logo Colts Win 65% +4.9 โ€”
4 vs Dallas Cowboys logo Cowboys Win 74% +8.3 โ€”
5 @ Tennessee Titans logo Titans Win 76% +9.2 โ€”
6 @ Jacksonville Jaguars logo Jaguars Win 54% +1.2 โ€”
7 vs New York Giants logo Giants Win 76% +9.1 โ€”
8Bye week
9 @ Los Angeles Chargers logo Chargers Win 59% +3.0 โ€”
10 @ Cleveland Browns logo Browns Win 69% +6.5 โ€”
11 vs Indianapolis Colts logo Colts Win 72% +7.7 โ€”
12 vs Baltimore Ravens logo Ravens Win 64% +4.8 โ€”
13 @ Pittsburgh Steelers logo Steelers Win 58% +2.7 โ€”
14 @ Washington Commanders logo Commanders Win 66% +5.2 โ€”
15 vs Jacksonville Jaguars logo Jaguars Win 58% +2.7 โ€”
16 @ Philadelphia Eagles logo Eagles Win 54% +1.3 โ€”
17 @ Green Bay Packers logo Packers Win 58% +2.7 โ€”
18 vs Tennessee Titans logo Titans Win 82% +11.9 โ€”

About This Rating

Houston Texans currently rate 1,617, 3rd of 32. The league average is 1500, and 25 rating points equal roughly one point of expected margin โ€” so the gap between this club and an average one is worth about 4.7 points on neutral ground. This figure comes from 2025 results regressed toward the mean, with no offseason adjustment for the draft, free agency, trades or injuries.

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