NFL 2026 · 8th Day Engine
Week 4 Predictions
1 Oct – 5 Oct 2026 · 16 games · 16 predicted
Where We Break From The Line
Week 4: we disagree on 1 game
Across 1,139 backtested games our disagreements with the closing line were right 41% of the time. We publish them regardless — and we publish how they land.
Every Week 4 Game
Published before kickoff · graded after
PIT
@
CLE
PIT 57%
CLE 43%
Pittsburgh Steelers to win
57%
Total 43.0 Lean
Line
PIT −2.5
IND
@
WAS
IND 51%
WAS 49%
Indianapolis Colts to win
51%
Total 48.4 Coin Flip
Line
WAS −1.5
We differ
ARI
@
NYG
ARI 40%
NYG 60%
New York Giants to win
60%
Total 48.0 Solid
DAL
@
HOU
DAL 26%
HOU 74%
Houston Texans to win
74%
Total 48.7 Strong
GB
@
TB
GB 53%
TB 47%
Green Bay Packers to win
53%
Total 45.9 Coin Flip
JAX
@
CIN
JAX 59%
CIN 41%
Jacksonville Jaguars to win
59%
Total 49.3 Lean
LAR
@
PHI
LAR 54%
PHI 46%
Los Angeles Rams to win
54%
Total 46.6 Lean
NE
@
BUF
NE 47%
BUF 53%
Buffalo Bills to win
53%
Total 46.5 Coin Flip
NYJ
@
CHI
NYJ 25%
CHI 75%
Chicago Bears to win
75%
Total 47.3 Strong
Line
CHI −8.5
TEN
@
BAL
TEN 25%
BAL 75%
Baltimore Ravens to win
75%
Total 46.4 Strong
MIA
@
MIN
MIA 33%
MIN 67%
Minnesota Vikings to win
67%
Total 43.7 Solid
DEN
@
SF
DEN 53%
SF 47%
Denver Broncos to win
53%
Total 45.2 Coin Flip
KC
@
LV
KC 62%
LV 38%
Kansas City Chiefs to win
62%
Total 42.0 Solid
LAC
@
SEA
LAC 26%
SEA 74%
Seattle Seahawks to win
74%
Total 44.0 Strong
DET
@
CAR
DET 60%
CAR 40%
Detroit Lions to win
60%
Total 47.0 Solid
ATL
@
NO
ATL 51%
NO 49%
Atlanta Falcons to win
51%
Total 43.6 Coin Flip