Aalesund vs Viking
📖 The Preview
Viking are sitting top of the table and have won eight of their last ten, so they're absolutely flying right now. Aalesund are down near the bottom and desperately need points, which gives them something to fight for, and they do get the one goal here. But that's about as good as it gets for them. Viking are just too strong and too consistent at this stage of the season, and the head-to-head record backs that up heavily. The fresher legs for Aalesund won't be enough to turn this one around. Viking win it 3-1.
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 12 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aalesund Win | 9/2 5.55 | 17% | 9% | -8% |
| Draw | 7/2 4.63 | 20% | 7% | -13% |
| Viking Win Value | 4/9 1.47 | 63% | 84% | +21% |
⚡ Stakes & Context
- 🆘 Aalesund in relegation danger (P14/16)
- 🏆 Viking in title race (P1)
- ⏱️ Rest advantage: Aalesund (9d) vs Viking (3d) — Aalesund significantly fresher
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Viking in outstanding form (8W in last 10); Aalesund inconsistent but competitive at home (DDWD)
H2H: Viking dominant (5 wins in 8), high-scoring games averaging 3.4 goals — supports a multi-goal outcome
Stakes: Aalesund in relegation battle fighting for every point; Viking chasing title — both sides highly motivated
Betting: both teams to score, over 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 1-3.
⚔️ Head to Head
Viking have won 5 of the last 8 meetings and are away-dominant in this fixture; games tend to be high-scoring (3.4 goals/game avg), including a 0-4 Viking win and a 3-1 Viking win in recent years, though Aalesund did beat Viking 2-1 as recently as March 2026.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
The projected 1-3 scoreline has both teams finding the net.
Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
The projected 1-3 scoreline totals 4 goals, clearing the 2.5 line.