Hradec Králové vs Beşiktaş
📖 The Preview
Hradec Králové have been in genuinely good nick lately, losing just once in their last ten, and at home in a high-stakes Europa League knockout they look the more settled side. Beşiktaş have been patchy, mixing wins with losses in recent weeks, and their inconsistency away from home in European football is a real concern here. Both teams should find the net, but the hosts are favoured to nick it 2-1, with Beşiktaş grabbing a consolation that keeps it nervous late on without ultimately changing the outcome.
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 14 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hradec Králové Win Value | 11/4 3.85 | 24% | 44% | +20% |
| Draw | 5/2 3.44 | 27% | 25% | -2% |
| Beşiktaş Win | 10/11 1.88 | 49% | 31% | -18% |
⚡ Stakes & Context
- 🏆 UEFA Europa League knockout — elimination stakes
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Hradec Králové home WWW with avg 1.44 goals scored and 0.57 conceded; Beşiktaş away WLDLD with avg 1.09 goals scored
H2H: Limited data — no significant historical head-to-head record to draw from
Stakes: UEFA Europa League knockout — full motivation from both sides, no dead-rubber discount applied
Betting: both teams to score, over 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 2-1.
⚔️ Head to Head
Limited data — no meaningful historical head-to-head trend available between these two sides.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
The projected 2-1 scoreline has both teams finding the net.
Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
The projected 2-1 scoreline totals 3 goals, clearing the 2.5 line.