Red Sox Predictions 2026 — Next Game, Record, Standings & Team Stats

Engine Verdict

League percentile ratings · updated with every game

B+

Overall rating

Red Sox · 71th percentile

▲ Improving

Offense

Average

Pitching

Strong

Bullpen

Elite

Defense

Average

Primary strength

Bullpen — rated elite against the rest of MLB.

Biggest concern

Speed — the department most likely to cost them a close game.

Why the Engine Rates Boston This Way

8th Day Engine · Rating rationale

The 8th Day Engine ranks Boston in the upper third of MLB because the club owns a positive run differential (+83), limited speed and a below-average offence. A dependable bullpen is the department doing most of the lifting. Their staff ERA of 3.49 ranks 3rd in MLB, and they score 4.44 runs per game (17th).

Next Prediction

Full board →

Tue, Aug 11, 23:07 UTC · Away

Boston Red Sox

51%

@

Toronto Blue Jays

49%

Boston Red Sox 51%Toronto Blue Jays 49%

Prediction

Boston Red Sox

Win probability

51%

Projected score

4–4

Confidence

Very Low Confidence

Total lean · 7.2 runs

Full match prediction

Season Snapshot

Official MLB standings feed

Record

64-54

Home

29-31

Away

35-23

Runs scored

524

Runs allowed

441

Run diff

+83

Streak

L3

Season Trends

Last 30 days vs season average · 24 games

Run differential

Last 30 days

+56

24 games

Offense

Runs scored per game

Improving

5.79 vs 4.44 season

Pitching

Runs allowed per game

Improving

3.46 vs 3.74 season

Home form

Last 30 days at home

Improving

12-4 vs .483 season

Against the League

MLB average across all 30 clubs

Runs per game

Red Sox 4.44

MLB average 4.49

-0.05 vs average · 17th in MLB

ERA

Red Sox 3.49

MLB average 4.17

-0.68 vs average · 3rd in MLB

OPS

Red Sox .721

MLB average .719

+0.002 vs average · 14th in MLB

Team Strength Radar

0–100 = percentile vs the other 29 clubs

8th Day Engine Insight

Red Sox: the engine ranks their offence 17th in MLB at 4.44 runs per game, and their staff sits 3rd on earned run average (3.49), while the bullpen grades elite on save conversion.

Offense = runs per game + OPS · Pitching = ERA + WHIP · Bullpen = save conversion + blown saves · Defense = fielding pct + errors per game · Speed = steals + success rate · Momentum = last ten + run differential. Every axis is a live percentile against all 30 clubs.

American League East Standings

All divisions →

Team	W	L	PCT	GB	DIFF	STRK
Rays	72	46	.610	—	+50	W7
Yankees	66	52	.559	6.0	+82	L1
Red Sox	64	54	.542	8.0	+83	L3
Orioles	57	62	.479	15.5	-37	L1
Blue Jays	57	63	.475	16.0	-58	W1

Recent Results

Graded in public · misses included

Mon, Aug 10 · @

Toronto Blue Jays 1–2

Chicago White Sox 12–11

Won ✓ Called

Wed, Aug 5 · vs

Chicago White Sox 4–0

Won ✓ Called

Tue, Aug 4 · vs

Chicago White Sox 14–2

Won ✓ Called

Sun, Aug 2 · @

Los Angeles Dodgers 8–4

Won ✗ Missed

Sat, Aug 1 · @

Los Angeles Dodgers 3–2

Won ✗ Missed

Fri, Jul 31 · @

Los Angeles Dodgers 9–4

Won ✗ Missed

Upcoming Schedule

Every game links to its prediction

A Toronto Blue Jays

Wed, Aug 12, 23:07 UTC

54%

A Toronto Blue Jays

Thu, Aug 13, 19:07 UTC

56%

A Pittsburgh Pirates

Fri, Aug 14, 22:40 UTC

A Pittsburgh Pirates

Sat, Aug 15, 23:15 UTC

Team Leaders

2026 season · rate stats qualified

Batting

AVG

1 Ceddanne Rafaela .287

2 Willson Contreras .283

3 Wilyer Abreu .253

4 Caleb Durbin .249

5 Jarren Duran .201

HR

1 Willson Contreras 23

2 Wilyer Abreu 20

3 Jarren Duran 16

4 Ceddanne Rafaela 15

5 Caleb Durbin 11

RBI

1 Willson Contreras 70

2 Wilyer Abreu 63

3 Ceddanne Rafaela 61

4 Jarren Duran 60

5 Caleb Durbin 54

OBP

1 Willson Contreras .393

2 Wilyer Abreu .329

3 Ceddanne Rafaela .326

4 Caleb Durbin .320

5 Jarren Duran .258

OPS

1 Willson Contreras .921

2 Ceddanne Rafaela .790

3 Wilyer Abreu .786

4 Caleb Durbin .723

5 Jarren Duran .614

Hits

1 Ceddanne Rafaela 128

2 Wilyer Abreu 111

3 Willson Contreras 105

4 Caleb Durbin 92

5 Jarren Duran 86

Runs

1 Wilyer Abreu 64

2 Ceddanne Rafaela 60

3 Willson Contreras 58

4 Caleb Durbin 55

5 Jarren Duran 52

SB

1 Jarren Duran 17

2 Ceddanne Rafaela 16

3 Caleb Durbin 14

4 Wilyer Abreu 7

5 Willson Contreras 3

Pitching

ERA

1 Sonny Gray 2.79

Wins

1 Sonny Gray 14

SV

1 Sonny Gray 0

SO

1 Sonny Gray 110

WHIP

1 Sonny Gray 1.15

Starting Rotation

By games started

#	Pitcher	GS	W-L	ERA	WHIP	Next projected start
1	Sonny Gray	22	14-3	2.79	1.15	—

Injury Report

40-man roster status

Player	Pos	Status
Adley Rutschman	C	Injured 10-Day
Alec Gamboa	P	Reassigned to Minors
Brett Harris	3B	Reassigned to Minors
Curtis Mead	3B	Injured 10-Day
Eduardo Rivera	P	Reassigned to Minors
Garrett Crochet	P	Injured 60-Day
Greg Weissert	P	Reassigned to Minors
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	2B	Injured 10-Day
Johan Oviedo	P	Injured 60-Day
Kristian Campbell	2B	Reassigned to Minors
Kutter Crawford	P	Injured 60-Day
Mickey Gasper	C	Reassigned to Minors
Nate Eaton	OF	Reassigned to Minors
Raymond Burgos	P	Reassigned to Minors
Roman Anthony	LF	Injured 60-Day
Romy Gonzalez	DH	Reassigned to Minors
Tanner Houck	P	Injured 60-Day
Trevor Story	SS	Injured 60-Day
Triston Casas	1B	Injured 60-Day
Tsung-Che Cheng	SS	Reassigned to Minors
Tyler Samaniego	P	Reassigned to Minors
Zack Kelly	P	Injured 60-Day

Status is taken from the official 40-man roster feed. Expected return dates are not published in that feed, so none are shown.

Team Form

Official split records

Last 10

7-3

.700 win rate

Home

29-31

.483 win rate

Away

35-23

.603 win rate

vs winning teams

28-24

.538 win rate

One-run games

13-15

.464 win rate

The Ballpark

Stadium

Fenway Park

Capacity

37,755

Opened

1912

Surface

Grass · Open

Comparable Profiles

Closest engine profile, not closest record

Measured as the distance between clubs across all six engine strength ratings — so these are teams built like Red Sox, which is not the same as teams with a similar record.

Key Rivalries

Yankees

Orioles

Rays

About the Red Sox

The Boston Red Sox compete in the American League East and play their home games at Fenway Park, opened in 1912. One of the sport's oldest and most decorated franchises. They are currently 64-54 (.542), 3rd in the division, 8.0 games back, with a run differential of +83. Recent form has them 7-3 over their last ten, 29-31 at home, 35-23 on the road. On the 8th Day Engine's league-wide percentile ratings, their strongest department is bullpen (Elite) and their weakest is speed (Average). Those grades are measured against the other 29 clubs and move as the season does. Every Red Sox prediction on CleverScores is published before first pitch and graded afterwards in public, wins and misses alike.

Boston Red Sox Predictions, Record, Standings and Team Stats — 2026

Engine Verdict

Why the Engine Rates Boston This Way

Next Prediction

Season Snapshot

Season Trends

Against the League

Team Strength Radar

American League East Standings

Recent Results

Upcoming Schedule

Team Leaders

Batting

AVG

HR

RBI

OBP

OPS

Hits

Runs

SB

Pitching

ERA

Wins

SV

SO

WHIP

Starting Rotation

Injury Report

Team Form

The Ballpark

Comparable Profiles

Key Rivalries

About the Red Sox

Related Pages