Seattle Mariners Predictions, Record, Standings and Team Stats — 2026

Seattle Mariners logo
American League West · 8th Day Engine
Seattle Mariners
SEA · T-Mobile Park · L5 streak
Next game in
—:—:—
Record
56-64
Division
3rd
Win %
.467
Games back
4.5
World Series
Run diff
-22

Engine Verdict

League percentile ratings · updated with every game
C
Overall rating
Mariners · 41th percentile
▼ Slipping
Offense
Weak
Pitching
Strong
Bullpen
Below par
Defense
Average
Primary strength
Pitching — rated strong against the rest of MLB.
Biggest concern
Offense — the department most likely to cost them a close game.

Why the Engine Rates Seattle This Way

8th Day Engine · Rating rationale

The 8th Day Engine ranks Seattle in the bottom half of MLB because the club owns a negative run differential (-22), an offence that struggles to score and patchy recent form. A strong pitching staff is what stops the overall grade falling further. Their staff ERA of 3.79 ranks 8th in MLB, and they score 3.86 runs per game (30th).

Next Prediction

Full board →
Wed, Aug 12, 23:05 UTC · Away
Seattle Mariners
44%
@
New York Yankees
56%
Seattle Mariners 44%New York Yankees 56%
Prediction
New York Yankees
Win probability
56%
Projected score
4–4
Confidence
Slight Edge
Total lean · 8.2 runs
Full match prediction

Season Snapshot

Official MLB standings feed
Record
56-64
Home
33-29
Away
23-35
Runs scored
463
Runs allowed
485
Run diff
-22
Streak
L5

Season Trends

Last 30 days vs season average · 23 games

Against the League

MLB average across all 30 clubs
Runs per game
Mariners 3.86
MLB average 4.48
-0.62 vs average · 30th in MLB
ERA
Mariners 3.79
MLB average 4.16
-0.37 vs average · 8th in MLB
OPS
Mariners .681
MLB average .719
-0.038 vs average · 29th in MLB

Team Strength Radar

0–100 = percentile vs the other 29 clubs
OFFENSE4PITCHING79BULLPEN33DEFENSE52SPEED42MOMENTUM31
8th Day Engine Insight

Mariners: the engine ranks their offence 30th in MLB at 3.86 runs per game, and their staff sits 8th on earned run average (3.79), while the bullpen grades below par on save conversion.

Offense = runs per game + OPS · Pitching = ERA + WHIP · Bullpen = save conversion + blown saves · Defense = fielding pct + errors per game · Speed = steals + success rate · Momentum = last ten + run differential. Every axis is a live percentile against all 30 clubs.

American League West Standings

All divisions →
TeamWLPCTGBDIFFSTRK
Astros logo Astros 61 60 .504 -28 L1
Rangers logo Rangers 60 60 .500 0.5 -31 L1
Mariners logo Mariners 56 64 .467 4.5 -22 L5
Athletics logo Athletics 47 73 .392 13.5 -176 L2
Angels logo Angels 46 74 .383 14.5 -93 W1

Recent Results

Graded in public · misses included

Upcoming Schedule

Every game links to its prediction

Team Leaders

2026 season · rate stats qualified

Batting

AVG

1 Randy Arozarena .276
2 Josh Naylor .263
3 Cole Young .263
4 Julio Rodríguez .256

HR

1 Julio Rodríguez 18
2 Randy Arozarena 15
3 Cole Young 14
4 Josh Naylor 10

RBI

1 Cole Young 52
2 Julio Rodríguez 51
3 Randy Arozarena 50
4 Josh Naylor 42

OBP

1 Randy Arozarena .368
2 Josh Naylor .328
3 Cole Young .321
4 Julio Rodríguez .321

OPS

1 Randy Arozarena .816
2 Julio Rodríguez .742
3 Cole Young .727
4 Josh Naylor .700

Hits

1 Cole Young 115
2 Randy Arozarena 114
3 Josh Naylor 113
4 Julio Rodríguez 109

Runs

1 Randy Arozarena 74
2 Cole Young 54
3 Julio Rodríguez 54
4 Josh Naylor 44

SB

1 Josh Naylor 23
2 Randy Arozarena 20
3 Julio Rodríguez 15
4 Cole Young 3

Pitching

ERA

1 Emerson Hancock 3.35
2 Logan Gilbert 3.42
3 George Kirby 3.68
4 Bryan Woo 4.15

Wins

1 Logan Gilbert 8
2 George Kirby 8
3 Bryan Woo 8
4 Emerson Hancock 6

SV

1 Emerson Hancock 0
2 Logan Gilbert 0
3 George Kirby 0
4 Bryan Woo 0

SO

1 Logan Gilbert 145
2 Bryan Woo 132
3 George Kirby 112
4 Emerson Hancock 111

WHIP

1 Logan Gilbert 1.00
2 Bryan Woo 1.10
3 Emerson Hancock 1.12
4 George Kirby 1.27

Starting Rotation

By games started
#PitcherGSW-LERAWHIPNext projected start
1 Logan Gilbert 23 8-7 3.42 1.00 Thu, Aug 13 @ New York Yankees
2 Bryan Woo 23 8-8 4.15 1.10
3 Emerson Hancock 22 6-7 3.35 1.12
4 George Kirby 22 8-9 3.68 1.27

Injury Report

40-man roster status
PlayerPosStatus
Brennen Davis CF Reassigned to Minors
Carlos Vargas P Injured 60-Day
Cole Wilcox P Injured 15-Day
Connor Joe RF Reassigned to Minors
Cooper Criswell P Injured 60-Day
J.P. Crawford SS Injured 10-Day
Logan Evans P Injured 60-Day
Luke Raley RF Injured 10-Day
Matt Brash P Injured 15-Day
Nolan Kingham P Reassigned to Minors
Patrick Wisdom 3B Reassigned to Minors
Robinson Ortiz P Reassigned to Minors
Ryan Bliss 2B Reassigned to Minors
Troy Taylor P Reassigned to Minors
Will Wilson 3B Injured 60-Day

Status is taken from the official 40-man roster feed. Expected return dates are not published in that feed, so none are shown.

Team Form

Official split records
Last 10
3-7
.300 win rate
Home
33-29
.532 win rate
Away
23-35
.397 win rate
vs winning teams
25-33
.431 win rate
One-run games
17-19
.472 win rate

The Ballpark

Stadium
T-Mobile Park
Capacity
47,929
Opened
1999
Surface
Grass · Retractable

Comparable Profiles

Closest engine profile, not closest record

Measured as the distance between clubs across all six engine strength ratings — so these are teams built like Mariners, which is not the same as teams with a similar record.

Key Rivalries

About the Mariners

The Seattle Mariners compete in the American League West and play their home games at T-Mobile Park, opened in 1999. Holders of the American League single-season wins record. They are currently 56-64 (.467), 3rd in the division, 4.5 games back, with a run differential of -22. Recent form has them 3-7 over their last ten, 33-29 at home, 23-35 on the road. On the 8th Day Engine's league-wide percentile ratings, their strongest department is pitching (Strong) and their weakest is offense (Weak). Those grades are measured against the other 29 clubs and move as the season does. Every Mariners prediction on CleverScores is published before first pitch and graded afterwards in public, wins and misses alike.

Related Pages

Deterministic engine · every pick published before first pitch · scored in public, every miss counted
Ratings are live percentiles against all 30 clubs · player and roster data from the official MLB feed